Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001263 0.001307 0.001352 0.001401 0.001454 0.001508 0.001569
2025-08-10 0.001187 0.001251 0.001319 0.001397 0.001483 0.001576 0.001685
2025-08-17 0.001124 0.001201 0.001286 0.001384 0.001497 0.001625 0.001780
2025-08-24 0.001072 0.001158 0.001254 0.001369 0.001505 0.001662 0.001861
2025-08-31 0.001049 0.001146 0.001255 0.001389 0.001552 0.001746 0.002002
2025-09-07 0.001022 0.001126 0.001245 0.001394 0.001578 0.001806 0.002115
2025-09-14 0.000989 0.001097 0.001222 0.001381 0.001583 0.001836 0.002191
2025-09-21 0.000958 0.001068 0.001198 0.001364 0.001579 0.001854 0.002250
2025-09-28 0.000933 0.001046 0.001180 0.001354 0.001582 0.001881 0.002323
2025-10-05 0.000895 0.001006 0.001139 0.001314 0.001543 0.001848 0.002306
2025-10-12 0.000874 0.000987 0.001123 0.001304 0.001544 0.001869 0.002369
2025-10-19 0.000861 0.000976 0.001117 0.001305 0.001560 0.001910 0.002464
2025-10-26 0.000842 0.000959 0.001102 0.001295 0.001561 0.001932 0.002534
2025-11-02 0.000832 0.000952 0.001100 0.001303 0.001586 0.001990 0.002667
2025-11-09 0.000817 0.000938 0.001089 0.001297 0.001591 0.002019 0.002754
2025-11-16 0.000800 0.000922 0.001074 0.001286 0.001588 0.002035 0.002821
2025-11-23 0.000797 0.000922 0.001081 0.001305 0.001630 0.002121 0.003021
2025-11-30 0.000788 0.000915 0.001078 0.001309 0.001649 0.002175 0.003168
2025-12-07 0.000774 0.000901 0.001064 0.001298 0.001646 0.002190 0.003244
2025-12-14 0.000759 0.000885 0.001048 0.001283 0.001635 0.002192 0.003293
2025-12-21 0.000747 0.000873 0.001037 0.001274 0.001633 0.002209 0.003374
2025-12-28 0.000725 0.000848 0.001006 0.001237 0.001587 0.002148 0.003286
2026-01-04 0.000714 0.000836 0.000996 0.001229 0.001584 0.002161 0.003355